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Robinhood (HOOD)

Is protection on Robinhood cheap or dear today, where has the money been placed, how did the past month play out, and how did the judgments we filed on Robinhood settle? Updated after every close, with right and wrong judgments alike left on the record.

Data date 10.07 · close 109.82 (—) · −28.48% from the 52-week high

I

Where it stands today

One-year IV percentile37 / 100

Where one-month protection (30-day implied volatility) sits within its past-year range, 0 the cheapest and 100 the dearest. Protection on Robinhood is now in the cheaper part of the past year.

30-day / one-year implied vol (%)60.8 / 61.53

The two are about level: nothing near-term is being priced on its own.

Expected move this week±3.5% ±3.87

Centred on the previous close of 112, option prices imply 108.13 to 115.87 at this week's expiry. A close outside it at expiry means the option sellers lose.

Put ÷ call (volume / open interest)0.39 / 0.58

Calls outtraded puts. It counts contracts, not direction: a put buyer may be insuring shares they own.

Levels from high to low, with distance from the close:

Call wall120+9.27%The strike with the most call open interest: an upside target someone has already made a down payment on.
Expected move, high115.87+5.51%Centred on the previous close: the implied top at this week's expiry.
Put wall110+0.16%The strike with the most put open interest: protection someone already paid for.
Flip level109.84+0.02%Above it, dealer hedging damps moves; below it, hedging amplifies them.
Close109.82
Expected move, low108.13−1.54%Centred on the previous close: the implied bottom at this week's expiry.

Data date 10.07. Updated once after each trading day's close; spot is the official close.

II

The last 30 trading days

Close, flip level, put wall and call wall, day by day: which side of the walls price is on, and whether the walls moved.

One-year and 30-day implied vol, day by day. The short line jumping while the long line holds means only the near-term event is being repriced; the long line rising too means the whole story is.

Shown: the last 30 trading days. Earlier records are in Chapter V (walls) and Chapter VII (implied vol) of the options page.

III

Today's big prints

Today Robinhood calls traded $5.0M in premium and puts $2.6M. Traded, not bought: we cannot see who bought and who sold.

No Robinhood contract made today's leaderboard.

Data date only. The board for every name is in Chapter IV of the options page.

IV

Valuation and profitability

P/E (TTM)
50.1
Forward P/E
32.8
P/S
20.6
P/B
10.7
ROE
23.6%
Gross margin
91.9%
Net margin
42.0%

The latest P/E (2026.10.02) is 49.7, the 67th percentile of 12 readings since 2022 (0 is the cheapest in that history, 100 the dearest; past readings are taken at quarter-ends). Robinhood is compared only with its own past.

At the latest quarter-end: ROE 22.4% (2026.06.30).

As of 2026.10.03, updated weekly. Full profit, return, valuation and dividend charts are in the Financials stock view.

V

Every case we filed on it

Each judgment is written down with its test before the fact, settled by that test, and left standing when wrong. These are all the cases that name Robinhood, none removed. Open one for the original filing.

1cases since 09.18
1settled
0open
09.18The three crypto stocks rose a tenth and their insurance got dearer at the same timeAlso: MSTR, COINundetermined
Settlement
undetermined
Original filing and test, archived verbatim in Chinese
09.18 Filed (confidence: 并列)
加密三只涨一成保险也涨=追的人在买保护,不是空头回补:MSTR +16.38 / COIN +11.65 / HOOD +9.11,cm30 +3.72 / +3.72 / +3.24(42 只里最高三只);MSTR 10.16 155C 5.2x 对 105P/90P/80P 成串,COIN 10.16 50P 61x;09.25 MSTR 看涨六档约 $107M
Test: 09-21 结算 MSTR 09.25 六档看涨留存 <50% 且 cm30 回落到 09-17 的 63.98 以下 ⇒ 三巫日过路钱+空头回补,收回
09.23 Settled

Result: 无法判定(核心输入错过取数日)

Cases for every name are in Chapter III of the options page. The ledger is append-only; a revision is a new row.

VI

Other names

Decades of Robinhood price history and drawdowns are in The Archive · Financials.

Software · AI CloudORCLPLTRCRWVNBIS
Crypto · BrokersCOINHOODMSTRSOFI
Payments · Brokers · Asset managersVMAAXPMSSCHWBLKBRK.BCRCL
How to read this page
· The one-year percentile and the 30-day and one-year implied vols come from two different sources; each is compared only with its own past, and the two are never spliced together.
· The 30-day and one-year vols are constant-maturity: interpolated between the two nearest expiries to exactly 30 and 365 days, read once before each close.
· A big-print row is one contract's full-day total, not a single trade. Without per-trade timestamps or aggressor side we state premium traded only.
· Every reading is cross-checked against two independent sources and updated once after the close. Raw data is not provided on this site.
· Valuation ratios, margins and returns are computed from the company's filed quarterly and annual reports, on the same basis as the sector stock view, and updated weekly.
· The P/E percentile compares the company only with its own quarter-end record, never with other companies, and is not spliced with the current readings above.
· Data and information only; not investment advice; no buy or sell recommendations.

Today's read on this name is in the subscriber email; past issues go public the next day.