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NEBIUS (NBIS)

Is protection on NEBIUS cheap or dear today, where has the money been placed, how did the past month play out, and how did the judgments we filed on NEBIUS settle? Updated after every close, with right and wrong judgments alike left on the record.

Data date 10.07 · close 244.12 (—) · −18.59% from the 52-week high

I

Where it stands today

One-year IV percentile2 / 100

Where one-month protection (30-day implied volatility) sits within its past-year range, 0 the cheapest and 100 the dearest. Protection on NEBIUS is now in the cheapest stretch of the past year.

30-day / one-year implied vol (%)71.66 / 80.14

The one-year sits 8.48 points above the 30-day, the usual shape: a longer policy covers more.

Expected move this week±4.8% ±12.04

Centred on the previous close of 249.87, option prices imply 237.83 to 261.91 at this week's expiry. A close outside it at expiry means the option sellers lose.

Put ÷ call (volume / open interest)0.53 / 0.94

Calls outtraded puts. It counts contracts, not direction: a put buyer may be insuring shares they own.

Levels from high to low, with distance from the close:

Expected move, high261.91+7.29%Centred on the previous close: the implied top at this week's expiry.
Call wall250+2.41%The strike with the most call open interest: an upside target someone has already made a down payment on.
Close244.12
Expected move, low237.83−2.57%Centred on the previous close: the implied bottom at this week's expiry.
Flip level228.69−6.32%Above it, dealer hedging damps moves; below it, hedging amplifies them.
Put wall220−9.88%The strike with the most put open interest: protection someone already paid for.

Data date 10.07. Updated once after each trading day's close; spot is the official close.

II

The last 30 trading days

Close, flip level, put wall and call wall, day by day: which side of the walls price is on, and whether the walls moved.

One-year and 30-day implied vol, day by day. The short line jumping while the long line holds means only the near-term event is being repriced; the long line rising too means the whole story is.

Shown: the last 30 trading days. Earlier records are in Chapter V (walls) and Chapter VII (implied vol) of the options page.

III

Today's big prints

Today NEBIUS calls traded $15.7M in premium and puts $6.7M. Traded, not bought: we cannot see who bought and who sold.

No NEBIUS contract made today's leaderboard.

Data date only. The board for every name is in Chapter IV of the options page.

IV

Every case we filed on it

No case names NEBIUS yet.

Cases for every name are in Chapter III of the options page. The ledger is append-only; a revision is a new row.

V

Other names

Software · AI CloudORCLPLTRCRWVNBIS
Crypto · BrokersCOINHOODMSTRSOFI
Payments · Brokers · Asset managersVMAAXPMSSCHWBLKBRK.BCRCL
How to read this page
· The one-year percentile and the 30-day and one-year implied vols come from two different sources; each is compared only with its own past, and the two are never spliced together.
· The 30-day and one-year vols are constant-maturity: interpolated between the two nearest expiries to exactly 30 and 365 days, read once before each close.
· A big-print row is one contract's full-day total, not a single trade. Without per-trade timestamps or aggressor side we state premium traded only.
· Every reading is cross-checked against two independent sources and updated once after the close. Raw data is not provided on this site.
· Data and information only; not investment advice; no buy or sell recommendations.

Today's read on this name is in the subscriber email; past issues go public the next day.